The investigation of fire growth in dwellings based on stochastic analysis-part II (The risk assessment method)

This article comes as a natural continuation of the work presented in a previous article in this Journal [6]. In the previous article, two stochastic models of fire growth were presented and results were discussed. A known limitation of stochastic models is that of the integration of an accurate time frame in the equations. A reliable solution to the fundamental problem of the definition of the mean time spent in each of the fire stages has been provided. In this article a realistic fire scenario is presented and a full risk assessment is attempted. Different populations of inhabitants during the event are compared and analytical predictions per room are presented.